Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 107.485148 122.792683 140.300224 161.981088 188.353672 219.712028 2.603056e+02
2025-05-11 86.246683 105.571525 129.879362 163.359164 209.362025 272.075010 3.672626e+02
2025-05-18 73.086636 93.436840 120.649149 160.903290 221.172111 312.135324 4.688754e+02
2025-05-25 65.269210 86.356744 115.972940 162.449407 237.353833 361.211997 6.019853e+02
2025-06-01 58.875736 80.049648 110.983541 161.952085 249.408796 406.184535 7.472750e+02
2025-06-08 53.376657 74.196510 105.613484 159.535448 257.184978 445.281555 9.000261e+02
2025-06-15 50.626757 72.035081 105.472534 165.465333 280.836836 522.294332 1.186013e+03
2025-06-22 45.773942 66.064335 98.434970 158.149030 277.486420 541.302180 1.334032e+03
2025-06-29 42.769521 62.705799 95.269678 157.248583 286.699186 591.944400 1.615613e+03
2025-07-06 40.256980 59.888301 92.667105 156.930260 296.992167 649.122115 1.973678e+03
2025-07-13 39.443576 59.780707 94.713252 165.903744 330.158846 781.409706 2.792101e+03
2025-07-20 38.907041 60.068419 97.463219 176.745368 370.918899 958.594196 4.160211e+03
2025-07-27 36.451701 56.999208 94.031471 174.763934 381.184584 1052.899425 5.361938e+03
2025-08-03 34.622042 54.908824 92.284252 176.376650 402.352390 1204.375001 7.569202e+03
2025-08-10 32.523543 52.140800 88.899037 173.660196 410.612669 1313.842399 9.995162e+03
2025-08-17 31.095252 50.473522 87.500515 175.371737 432.871910 1504.968203 1.488896e+04
2025-08-24 29.588647 48.530870 85.326687 174.821165 448.072324 1680.257068 2.173707e+04
2025-08-31 28.032959 46.373923 82.489685 172.146585 455.586210 1826.239225 3.076964e+04
2025-09-07 27.392828 45.918719 83.179543 178.711819 498.107001 2234.565750 6.348383e+04
2025-09-14 25.631594 43.153442 78.641868 170.612802 483.983218 2259.128477 7.945914e+04
2025-09-21 24.558585 41.676051 76.791630 169.616887 497.280585 2505.361242 1.407120e+05
2025-09-28 23.615446 40.392980 75.253821 169.264860 513.355026 2805.879294 2.906206e+05
2025-10-05 23.442742 40.643175 77.178175 179.197524 577.522627 3682.942536 2.214123e+06